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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+7.15vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+6.20vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.37vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+4.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.31+2.46vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.73+4.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43+0.09vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.92vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03-0.15vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-3.12vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.71-0.87vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.55-5.30vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.04-4.19vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.21-1.93vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.00-2.44vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-2.58vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.84-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.37Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.81Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.03Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.85Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.81Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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12.07University of Vermont1.210.0%1st Place
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12.56Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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13.42Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.4% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| bella casaretto | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Sarah Young | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Anna Olsen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 16.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 21.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 30.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.