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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+7.19vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+6.24vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+3.98vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.01+2.98vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.73+2.91vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.04+0.52vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.31-1.25vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-3.39vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-2.09vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00+0.55vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.43-5.81vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.71-3.84vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.84-5.54vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-2.59vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.21-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.98Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.91Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.52Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.75Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.61Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.91Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.55Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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13.41Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Vermont1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Megan Grimes | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Young | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 21.2% |
| bella casaretto | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 5.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 31.2% |
| Anna Olsen | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.