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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+7.51vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.71+7.99vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+5.66vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+3.06vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.31+2.42vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55+0.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.09vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-2.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.39vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.43-3.00vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.13-2.51vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.21-0.14vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-4.13vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.73-3.91vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.00-2.40vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.84-6.47vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.92-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.06Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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5.35Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Vermont1.210.0%1st Place
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8.87Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.09Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.6Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.96Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Young | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.2% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| bella casaretto | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 16.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 24.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 17.1% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.