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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.25vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+6.65vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.31+4.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.01+4.85vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.71+4.76vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55+0.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.41vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84+0.69vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.04-1.44vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.73vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.13-3.71vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.43-5.76vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.00-1.23vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.73-5.10vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.21-4.01vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.92-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.85Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.92Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.56Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.29Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.24Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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12.77Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.9Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont1.210.0%1st Place
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12.93Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.7% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Young | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| bella casaretto | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 24.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 16.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.