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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+8.66vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.91vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.38vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+4.37vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+1.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55+0.92vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.11vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03+0.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.71+1.21vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.01-1.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-2.43vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.21-0.11vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.31-5.28vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-4.36vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.00-2.42vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.92-3.01vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.04-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.96Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.58Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.7Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.89University of Vermont1.210.0%1st Place
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7.72Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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12.58Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.99Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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8.83Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| bella casaretto | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Young | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| Emma Snead | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 23.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 26.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.