Race 1A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Johnny Perkins 11.0% 11.6% 12.6% 11.8% 12.1% 11.2% 10.9% 9.7% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Mitchell Hnatt 23.4% 20.2% 16.9% 12.9% 10.2% 8.0% 5.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Ian Hoogenboom 10.7% 11.8% 12.4% 10.8% 12.1% 11.9% 11.2% 8.2% 6.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Andrew Tollefson 14.0% 14.1% 13.4% 13.4% 12.8% 9.8% 10.2% 6.4% 4.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Kathleen Hale 8.5% 9.5% 9.6% 11.2% 10.1% 12.3% 11.9% 12.5% 7.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Lyla Solway 9.6% 9.7% 11.0% 13.2% 13.0% 11.2% 10.7% 11.0% 5.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Kenneth Buck 11.9% 10.8% 12.2% 12.2% 11.8% 12.4% 10.7% 8.3% 5.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
William Adams 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 3.6% 5.7% 10.9% 15.2% 23.7% 30.3%
Skylar Dragomire 3.4% 4.5% 4.1% 4.8% 5.6% 7.6% 9.7% 12.7% 16.1% 15.6% 11.1% 4.9%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.1% 3.6% 3.8% 4.6% 5.1% 7.0% 8.8% 12.6% 16.0% 17.2% 12.1% 6.1%
Jim Wang 1.8% 1.7% 1.2% 2.4% 2.7% 3.1% 3.8% 6.3% 11.2% 17.2% 24.2% 24.3%
Julia Morash 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 3.5% 4.7% 8.8% 16.4% 23.5% 33.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.