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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.55+5.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+6.31vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.31+4.60vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.21+6.74vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-0.46vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43+0.10vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.71+1.83vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.13-0.45vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.73-0.23vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-3.80vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00+0.61vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.01-4.07vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.04-5.19vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.84-5.57vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.92-2.98vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.6Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Vermont1.210.0%1st Place
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5.54Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.1Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.77Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.61Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.81Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.02Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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8.81Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 23.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 26.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.