Race 11B

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Anna Olsen 3.2% 3.2% 3.7% 2.5% 4.6% 4.2% 5.2% 5.1% 6.3% 5.1% 7.0% 7.6% 9.4% 14.5% 18.4%
Cordelia Burn 9.4% 11.4% 10.2% 8.8% 9.7% 9.2% 7.2% 6.7% 6.4% 5.3% 5.2% 4.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Lucy Brock 5.6% 6.0% 6.6% 5.6% 7.8% 7.4% 6.8% 6.2% 7.0% 7.5% 8.7% 8.9% 5.8% 7.1% 3.0%
Sarah Young 11.7% 10.1% 9.7% 11.0% 8.5% 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 4.7% 6.1% 5.4% 4.0% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7%
Megan Grimes 8.4% 9.4% 8.0% 7.4% 6.9% 7.8% 8.4% 7.9% 7.9% 7.0% 6.0% 4.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.3%
Emma Cowles 15.3% 13.7% 12.9% 10.8% 11.2% 8.4% 7.8% 6.1% 5.8% 3.0% 2.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Katherine McNamara 8.2% 5.1% 5.5% 7.5% 6.4% 7.4% 7.7% 8.2% 6.5% 10.3% 6.3% 6.8% 5.3% 5.1% 3.7%
Annika Fedde 5.0% 4.4% 4.8% 6.2% 4.6% 5.3% 6.9% 6.2% 7.7% 6.4% 7.7% 10.1% 9.4% 9.0% 6.3%
Charlotte Costikyan 3.9% 4.9% 5.3% 5.0% 5.6% 7.1% 6.6% 6.3% 7.6% 7.3% 8.9% 8.1% 9.7% 8.2% 5.5%
bella casaretto 8.2% 9.5% 9.8% 9.7% 7.9% 7.6% 8.3% 8.0% 7.7% 6.9% 5.2% 4.9% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8%
Meredith Broadus 2.0% 2.6% 1.9% 1.9% 4.0% 4.9% 2.6% 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 7.8% 7.3% 10.1% 14.0% 27.7%
Kytalin Hendrickson 4.4% 4.1% 5.4% 6.2% 6.0% 6.6% 6.7% 6.4% 8.3% 6.8% 9.4% 7.9% 8.4% 8.5% 4.9%
Eva Ermlich 6.2% 6.1% 5.4% 7.2% 5.8% 5.9% 8.1% 6.8% 7.2% 9.5% 8.3% 7.1% 7.7% 4.7% 4.0%
Libby Redmond 6.0% 6.6% 7.2% 7.1% 7.9% 7.0% 6.1% 7.7% 7.2% 8.0% 6.0% 8.2% 7.2% 4.8% 3.0%
Teagan Cunningham 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.7% 6.8% 5.5% 5.6% 5.5% 8.4% 10.8% 15.2% 20.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.