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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+6.95vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.31+4.60vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.00+8.07vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+4.37vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+1.30vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-1.21vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.01+0.74vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55-2.06vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-2.75vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.73-1.11vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.04-3.21vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.21-1.18vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.71-3.90vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-6.28vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.07Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.3Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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4.79Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.74Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.89Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.79Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont1.210.0%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.72Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 25.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Young | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| bella casaretto | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Anna Olsen | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 19.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.