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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+6.61vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+4.07vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+2.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.03vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.21+5.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.00+5.20vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.31-0.30vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-3.17vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.71-0.23vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.04-2.19vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-2.56vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.01-3.93vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.73-3.92vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.43-7.74vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Vermont1.210.0%1st Place
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11.2Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.7Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.83Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.81Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.07Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.08Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.73Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Young | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Anna Olsen | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 19.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 24.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 15.9% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| bella casaretto | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.