Race 1A

oyster-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Trenton Shaw 9.5% 8.7% 11.1% 7.6% 11.7% 12.5% 13.3% 14.9% 10.7%
Jordan Bruce 10.2% 13.6% 13.0% 13.0% 13.4% 12.0% 9.9% 9.4% 5.5%
Leo Boucher 20.1% 17.2% 15.8% 14.5% 10.0% 9.6% 7.0% 4.1% 1.7%
Diego Escobar 10.0% 11.0% 12.6% 11.6% 10.4% 13.4% 12.0% 9.5% 9.5%
Christopher Sharpless 6.0% 7.9% 8.5% 8.6% 9.0% 11.1% 11.9% 14.3% 22.7%
Mariner Fagan 20.6% 19.0% 14.7% 14.8% 12.1% 7.9% 5.0% 4.4% 1.5%
Cooper Walshe 8.0% 7.4% 9.2% 11.0% 12.2% 11.6% 14.2% 14.2% 12.2%
Noyl Odom 7.8% 8.1% 5.6% 10.1% 10.6% 10.7% 13.6% 13.8% 19.7%
Keiran James Golden 7.8% 7.1% 9.5% 8.8% 10.6% 11.2% 13.1% 15.4% 16.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.