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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.63vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+1.75vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+2.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.23vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.50-0.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.35-0.62vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.03-1.89vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.83-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
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3.75Georgetown University3.220.2%1st Place
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5.86Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.23U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.96Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 20.8% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 16.7% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 17.7% |
| Trenton Shaw | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% |
| Daniel Hughes | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Cooper Walshe | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% |
| Keiran James Golden | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 16.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 24.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.