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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.35+4.45vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.50+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.03+3.16vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.20vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-1.48vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18-0.26vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.63vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.22-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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5.3Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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5.2U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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3.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
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5.74Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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3.55Georgetown University3.220.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Walshe | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% |
| Daniel Hughes | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 23.6% |
| Trenton Shaw | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 23.0% | 19.5% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 15.6% |
| Keiran James Golden | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 16.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 13.5% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 20.8% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.