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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wake Forest University0.08+3.94vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.33+2.35vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.19+1.73vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.87-0.81vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.01+0.14vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.05+0.37vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.05-2.77vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.21+0.50vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-2.49vs Predicted
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11Davidson College-2.02-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Wake Forest University0.089.6%1st Place
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4.35The Citadel0.3313.7%1st Place
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4.73The Citadel0.1912.2%1st Place
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3.19Clemson University0.8724.5%1st Place
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5.14North Carolina State University0.018.8%1st Place
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4.8Duke University0.0611.8%1st Place
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7.37University of South Carolina-1.053.7%1st Place
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5.23University of North Carolina-0.059.4%1st Place
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9.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.211.0%1st Place
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7.51Georgia Institute of Technology-0.563.8%1st Place
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9.23Davidson College-2.021.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Johnny Perkins | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
Andrew Tollefson | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Kenneth Buck | 12.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
Mitchell Hnatt | 24.5% | 20.9% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Lyla Solway | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
Skylar Dragomire | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 7.4% |
Kathleen Hale | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
Julia Morash | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 22.1% | 46.4% |
Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 17.9% | 8.8% |
Jim Wang | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 26.8% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.