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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+4.68vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+1.75vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.50+2.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35+1.31vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.83-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.74vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.18-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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3.75Georgetown University3.220.2%1st Place
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5.17Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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3.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.74Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiran James Golden | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 15.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 15.9% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Hughes | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% |
| Cooper Walshe | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 22.9% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Jordan Bruce | 14.0% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 23.3% |
| Trenton Shaw | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.