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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+2.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.50vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.35+1.31vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.50-0.06vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.83-3.56vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Georgetown University3.220.2%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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3.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
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4.94Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.77Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 20.1% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Trenton Shaw | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 21.3% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Cooper Walshe | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% |
| Daniel Hughes | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 17.8% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 22.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 13.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Keiran James Golden | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.