← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.32vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.58vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.64vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.22-0.51vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.18+0.63vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.35-0.63vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.80vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.50-2.91vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.32U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
4.58University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
3.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.2%1st Place
-
3.49Georgetown University3.220.2%1st Place
-
5.63Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
5.37U. S. Naval Academy2.350.1%1st Place
-
6.2University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
-
5.09Georgetown University2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trenton Shaw | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 20.8% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 21.0% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 17.5% |
| Cooper Walshe | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 22.6% |
| Daniel Hughes | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% |
| Keiran James Golden | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.