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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+0.91vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.54vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28+1.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.86+0.88vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37-2.80vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.00vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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2.91Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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5.15Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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3.2Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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6.0Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.66St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 16.0% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 24.7% | 23.5% | 19.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 18.0% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 14.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 22.5% | 25.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 22.1% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 21.1% | 31.7% |
| Lily Flack | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.