← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.28+4.07vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.79+4.02vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.37+0.22vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.43vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.28vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.22vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-1.23vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.55-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.07Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
6.02Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
3.22Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
-
3.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
-
3.72University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
5.78U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
-
5.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
-
2.85Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 11.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 23.1% | 30.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 21.4% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 16.5% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 14.4% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 25.8% |
| Lily Flack | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 26.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 25.7% | 25.4% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.