← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.55+1.87vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.75vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.54vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.37-0.79vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+0.79vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.28-0.93vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy0.86-1.11vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.79-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.87Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
-
3.75University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
-
3.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
-
3.21Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
-
5.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
-
5.07Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.89U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
-
5.89Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 26.2% | 22.6% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 14.6% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 18.4% | 15.1% | 19.8% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 21.1% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Lily Flack | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 24.3% | 23.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 14.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 29.2% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.