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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+1.21vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55-0.07vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+1.79vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.21vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28-1.82vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.21Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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2.93Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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3.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Naval Academy0.860.1%1st Place
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5.18Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.87Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 16.2% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 21.5% | 18.8% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 26.5% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Lily Flack | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 25.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 15.2% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 27.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 14.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.