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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.86+3.87vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.55vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55-1.08vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28+0.14vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.27vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.37-3.74vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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3.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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2.92Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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3.26Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.89Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 14.9% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 22.6% | 27.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 17.7% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 25.6% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 13.0% |
| Lily Flack | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 19.8% | 24.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 21.7% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 21.5% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.