← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.65vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.55+0.92vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.56vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.37-0.77vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.28+0.15vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy0.86-0.18vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-1.21vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.79-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.65University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
-
2.92Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
-
3.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
-
3.23Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
-
5.15Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.82U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
-
5.79St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
-
5.88Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 16.3% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 25.7% | 22.2% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 18.1% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 20.1% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 12.8% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 27.7% |
| Lily Flack | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 21.1% | 26.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.