Race 3A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lyla Solway 10.7% 11.2% 10.7% 11.7% 11.2% 12.2% 10.7% 10.9% 7.5% 2.8% 0.7%
Mitchell Hnatt 23.2% 20.8% 17.1% 13.7% 10.7% 6.8% 4.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 12.7% 12.2% 12.9% 11.7% 11.9% 12.0% 10.4% 8.9% 5.2% 1.9% 0.1%
Johnny Perkins 11.0% 11.6% 12.3% 12.7% 12.3% 11.3% 11.6% 8.6% 5.7% 2.4% 0.5%
Andrew Tollefson 13.7% 13.4% 13.5% 14.7% 13.2% 12.8% 9.3% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Ian Hoogenboom 11.2% 11.2% 12.3% 11.9% 12.3% 11.8% 11.4% 9.7% 5.8% 2.1% 0.3%
Kathleen Hale 9.0% 10.3% 10.7% 10.0% 11.4% 11.5% 12.8% 12.0% 7.6% 3.9% 0.9%
Skylar Dragomire 3.5% 3.5% 4.2% 5.3% 6.5% 7.8% 10.7% 13.6% 19.8% 17.2% 7.8%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.2% 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 5.4% 7.8% 9.3% 15.6% 21.2% 16.9% 9.6%
Julia Morash 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 4.1% 6.4% 11.1% 25.2% 42.9%
Jim Wang 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 5.0% 6.6% 12.6% 26.6% 36.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.