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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.65vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.28+3.14vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37+0.19vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55-1.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.86+0.89vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.27vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.38vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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5.14Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.19Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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2.92Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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3.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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5.87Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 15.4% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 14.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 21.6% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 25.1% | 22.9% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 23.1% | 26.3% |
| Lily Flack | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 25.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 18.2% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 17.0% | 21.7% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.