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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.66vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.28+3.17vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55-0.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37-0.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.86+0.88vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.48vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-1.22vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.79-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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5.17Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.89Georgetown University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.23Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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3.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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5.78St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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5.87Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 16.0% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 16.5% | 14.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 27.6% | 19.5% | 19.8% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 19.6% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 23.7% | 26.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 17.6% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Lily Flack | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 26.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 21.5% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.