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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.75vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37+0.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.86+1.83vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28+0.15vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.29vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.79-1.01vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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3.75University of Pennsylvania2.060.2%1st Place
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3.21Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.15Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.1%1st Place
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5.99Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 25.0% | 24.4% | 18.8% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 15.6% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 20.8% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 27.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 12.5% |
| Lily Flack | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 20.1% | 24.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 21.6% | 30.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 18.5% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.