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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.08+0.77vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.43+1.48vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.31vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.52-1.35vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19-1.41vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Princeton University1.080.5%1st Place
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3.48University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.31Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.65Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.59Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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4.2Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 53.9% | 26.1% | 12.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Maxwell Penders | 11.5% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 11.7% |
| Cole Bender | 13.3% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 8.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 10.6% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 23.5% | 18.8% | 13.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 4.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 39.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 6.5% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 22.6% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.