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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.43+2.53vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.08-0.23vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.28vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.52-0.36vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.19-0.42vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.92-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
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1.77Princeton University1.080.5%1st Place
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3.28Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.64Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.58Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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4.2Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Penders | 11.4% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 14.1% |
| Asher Green | 54.2% | 24.9% | 13.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Cole Bender | 14.1% | 20.9% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 7.5% |
| Patrick Cashin | 9.6% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 12.9% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 4.4% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 22.1% | 38.7% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 6.3% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 22.2% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.