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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.43+2.50vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.08-0.24vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.19+1.51vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.52-1.38vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-2.59vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
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1.76Princeton University1.080.5%1st Place
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4.51Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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3.62Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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3.41Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.19Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Penders | 11.9% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 12.8% |
| Asher Green | 54.0% | 26.3% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 24.0% | 35.8% |
| Patrick Cashin | 9.8% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 21.3% | 12.1% |
| Cole Bender | 12.0% | 19.5% | 22.9% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 11.9% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 6.4% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.