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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.52+2.65vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.08-0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.43+0.47vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.92-0.82vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19-1.41vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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1.77Princeton University1.080.5%1st Place
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3.47University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.18Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.59Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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3.34Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cashin | 10.4% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 15.4% |
| Asher Green | 53.6% | 25.9% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Penders | 12.6% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 9.4% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 6.3% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 23.9% | 25.5% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 4.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 39.8% |
| Cole Bender | 12.8% | 20.4% | 21.5% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.