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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University-0.52+2.63vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.08-0.24vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.43-0.48vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.92-0.75vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.19-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Monmouth University-0.520.1%1st Place
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1.76Princeton University1.080.5%1st Place
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3.29Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.25Princeton University-0.920.1%1st Place
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4.56Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Cashin | 10.6% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 17.4% | 14.9% |
| Asher Green | 54.5% | 24.9% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Cole Bender | 14.3% | 20.6% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 8.2% |
| Maxwell Penders | 10.4% | 18.1% | 21.2% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 10.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 6.2% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 23.0% | 28.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 4.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 21.3% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.