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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.37+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.60+4.75vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University1.25+4.88vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.61+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan3.02-1.65vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University2.41-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago0.60+2.82vs Predicted
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9Marquette University0.69+0.62vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.44-2.62vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.11+0.88vs Predicted
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12University of Notre Dame0.60-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota1.95-6.96vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame0.27-2.94vs Predicted
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16University of Illinois0.38-5.46vs Predicted
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18Northern Michigan University-0.27-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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6.75University of Michigan1.600.1%1st Place
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7.88Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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4.17University of Wisconsin2.610.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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4.63Northwestern University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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9.62Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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11.88Purdue University-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Notre Dame0.600.0%1st Place
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6.04University of Minnesota1.950.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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12.18Northern Michigan University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kinzel | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Oliver | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Trost | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Christine Porter | 17.4% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 24.0% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric DeFeo | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Kaplan | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Patrick Farrell | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Lawrence Jau | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ken Rood | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 25.5% |
| Emily Golden | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| Ryan Grosch | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| Jamie Gay | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| Matthew Leon | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.