Race 4A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mitchell Hnatt 24.2% 20.6% 15.8% 12.8% 11.3% 7.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Ian Hoogenboom 11.4% 12.0% 13.8% 12.3% 10.8% 11.8% 11.1% 8.3% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5%
Andrew Tollefson 14.8% 14.8% 14.3% 11.7% 13.2% 12.6% 8.3% 5.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.1%
John Cole McGee 9.8% 9.3% 9.3% 11.2% 11.5% 12.5% 13.0% 10.9% 8.1% 3.5% 0.9%
Kenneth Buck 12.3% 13.6% 12.4% 13.3% 12.0% 10.5% 10.2% 7.9% 5.2% 2.4% 0.2%
Emma Bellotte 9.0% 9.5% 10.1% 11.2% 11.5% 11.1% 14.5% 10.8% 7.8% 3.7% 0.9%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.5% 3.1% 4.5% 5.1% 5.9% 6.5% 9.9% 15.3% 19.6% 18.3% 8.3%
Skylar Dragomire 3.5% 3.5% 4.7% 5.8% 6.3% 7.4% 10.0% 15.8% 18.8% 15.8% 8.4%
Lyla Solway 9.4% 10.8% 11.2% 12.8% 11.9% 14.4% 10.8% 8.8% 7.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Julia Morash 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 6.5% 10.8% 23.6% 44.3%
Jim Wang 1.3% 1.5% 2.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 4.6% 7.9% 12.7% 26.6% 36.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.