← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+2.12vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University-0.09+0.48vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia-0.91+0.41vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University0.70-2.23vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-2.43+0.13vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-3.41+0.07vs Predicted
-
7Monmouth University-3.44-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.12Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
-
2.48Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
-
3.41University of Virginia-0.910.1%1st Place
-
1.77Princeton University0.700.5%1st Place
-
5.13Princeton University-2.430.0%1st Place
-
6.07Drexel University-3.410.0%1st Place
-
6.04Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Maguire | 13.7% | 19.4% | 25.7% | 27.2% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Carly Mraz | 22.7% | 32.2% | 26.0% | 13.8% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 10.2% | 14.9% | 21.8% | 34.6% | 14.1% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 50.1% | 28.5% | 15.7% | 5.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calif Chen | 1.8% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 41.5% | 26.4% | 11.8% |
| Sarah Schon | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 14.4% | 34.1% | 43.4% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 13.8% | 32.0% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.