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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.91+2.58vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-1.46+2.24vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.70-1.22vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.63vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.09-2.36vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-3.41+0.22vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-3.44-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Virginia-0.910.1%1st Place
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4.24Princeton University-1.460.1%1st Place
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1.78Princeton University0.700.5%1st Place
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3.37Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.64Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
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6.22Drexel University-3.410.0%1st Place
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6.16Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 10.7% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 23.6% | 22.6% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Robert Rubin | 5.5% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 21.2% | 35.7% | 13.9% | 2.2% |
| Ossian Kamal | 50.4% | 28.4% | 14.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 11.2% | 18.5% | 20.8% | 26.1% | 19.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 20.7% | 28.4% | 26.6% | 16.3% | 6.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Schon | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 8.5% | 37.7% | 47.8% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 36.4% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.