← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia-0.91+2.37vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.70-0.24vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+0.16vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University-0.09-1.49vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-2.43+0.11vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-3.41+0.07vs Predicted
-
7Monmouth University-3.44-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.37University of Virginia-0.910.1%1st Place
-
1.76Princeton University0.700.5%1st Place
-
3.16Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
-
2.51Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
-
5.11Princeton University-2.430.0%1st Place
-
6.07Drexel University-3.410.0%1st Place
-
6.02Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Sweeney | 11.3% | 15.2% | 23.8% | 30.2% | 14.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 50.3% | 32.0% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 12.7% | 17.5% | 27.7% | 28.6% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 22.6% | 29.3% | 26.9% | 16.7% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Calif Chen | 1.5% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 41.1% | 26.4% | 11.7% |
| Sarah Schon | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 14.6% | 34.5% | 43.0% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 32.5% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.