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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+2.10vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.70-0.22vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.91+0.39vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-2.43+1.10vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-3.41+1.08vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-3.44+0.08vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.09-4.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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1.78Princeton University0.700.5%1st Place
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3.39University of Virginia-0.910.1%1st Place
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5.1Princeton University-2.430.0%1st Place
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6.08Drexel University-3.410.0%1st Place
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6.08Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
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2.48Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Maguire | 13.7% | 19.6% | 27.8% | 24.3% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Ossian Kamal | 49.8% | 30.5% | 13.2% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 10.8% | 13.1% | 24.2% | 34.5% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Calif Chen | 1.3% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 40.2% | 27.7% | 10.4% |
| Sarah Schon | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 14.9% | 32.3% | 44.5% |
| Abigail Eck | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 15.5% | 32.3% | 44.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 23.3% | 32.2% | 23.9% | 15.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.