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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+2.07vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.70-0.23vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.91+0.40vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.09-1.47vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-2.43+0.13vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-3.41+0.07vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-3.44-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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1.77Princeton University0.700.5%1st Place
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3.4University of Virginia-0.910.1%1st Place
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2.53Princeton University-0.090.2%1st Place
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5.13Princeton University-2.430.0%1st Place
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6.07Drexel University-3.410.0%1st Place
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6.02Monmouth University-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Maguire | 14.2% | 19.7% | 27.4% | 25.0% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Ossian Kamal | 49.7% | 31.7% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Sweeney | 10.2% | 14.7% | 23.0% | 33.3% | 14.4% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| Carly Mraz | 22.7% | 28.5% | 26.8% | 17.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Calif Chen | 1.5% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 41.0% | 26.7% | 11.8% |
| Sarah Schon | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 14.9% | 34.0% | 43.4% |
| Abigail Eck | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 13.7% | 31.9% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.