Race 5A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ian Hoogenboom 11.5% 12.2% 12.2% 11.1% 12.6% 12.7% 10.1% 9.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Andrew Tollefson 14.5% 13.7% 14.2% 13.5% 11.2% 11.3% 10.1% 6.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Kenneth Buck 11.7% 11.6% 12.6% 12.2% 12.8% 12.7% 9.8% 9.7% 4.5% 2.4% 0.2%
Mitchell Hnatt 22.4% 22.0% 17.4% 13.3% 10.8% 6.5% 4.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Lyla Solway 10.1% 10.2% 10.2% 11.5% 11.5% 12.6% 12.8% 10.4% 6.9% 3.3% 0.7%
Johnny Perkins 10.9% 11.7% 10.9% 13.7% 13.1% 11.6% 10.9% 8.2% 6.8% 1.8% 0.4%
John Cole McGee 8.6% 8.2% 10.2% 10.4% 11.3% 12.3% 12.9% 12.2% 9.0% 4.0% 0.8%
Julia Morash 1.6% 1.2% 1.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.7% 4.0% 5.9% 11.2% 23.4% 45.4%
Jim Wang 0.9% 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% 3.0% 6.1% 7.5% 13.5% 25.9% 35.0%
Skylar Dragomire 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 5.5% 6.7% 7.5% 10.2% 15.1% 17.0% 16.8% 8.1%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 3.8% 4.0% 4.0% 5.1% 5.8% 7.2% 8.6% 13.1% 20.6% 19.1% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.