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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.25+4.07vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.44+5.29vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.41+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan3.02-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.37-1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.61-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.60+1.89vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago0.60+0.94vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University1.25-2.01vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois0.38-0.35vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.69-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.60-5.87vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame0.27-2.90vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University-0.27-3.79vs Predicted
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18Purdue University-0.11-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07University of Minnesota2.250.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
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4.67Northwestern University2.410.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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4.94University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Wisconsin2.610.2%1st Place
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9.89University of Notre Dame0.600.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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7.99Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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9.74Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Michigan1.600.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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12.21Northern Michigan University-0.270.0%1st Place
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11.81Purdue University-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Thompson | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Jau | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Eric DeFeo | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 23.8% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Porter | 15.1% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Golden | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Paul Kaplan | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jamie Gay | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.5% |
| Patrick Farrell | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| David Oliver | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 15.1% |
| Matthew Leon | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 28.4% |
| Ken Rood | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.