Race 1B

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Brelage 32.2% 21.8% 17.8% 11.7% 9.2% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Gumny 4.7% 6.5% 6.9% 8.3% 10.3% 14.1% 13.6% 14.7% 10.8% 7.2% 2.9%
Dylan Flack 14.8% 15.9% 16.2% 15.8% 12.7% 11.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Luke Adams 18.7% 21.4% 19.1% 14.6% 11.8% 7.5% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Bradlee Anderson 10.4% 11.2% 11.7% 13.2% 13.5% 14.3% 11.2% 8.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Henry Parker 7.4% 7.9% 9.8% 12.2% 12.8% 13.4% 12.8% 10.4% 8.5% 3.8% 1.0%
Kay Lyon 4.4% 5.9% 7.3% 8.9% 9.8% 13.1% 14.8% 13.7% 11.6% 7.0% 3.5%
Tyler Williams 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.7% 5.6% 5.2% 9.1% 12.2% 16.2% 18.9% 21.8%
Will Bilowz 1.4% 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.3% 6.9% 9.7% 14.2% 21.6% 30.0%
Holden Haenel 2.5% 2.5% 3.4% 4.4% 5.9% 6.9% 10.9% 13.5% 17.0% 18.3% 14.8%
Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 7.6% 10.9% 15.1% 20.9% 25.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.