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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+2.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+1.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.59+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13+1.84vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.37-0.70vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.26+0.04vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.93+2.75vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.07-2.30vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.54vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.38-1.33vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.75-0.20vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.84-4.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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2.98Roger Williams University2.010.3%1st Place
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4.16University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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3.74Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
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7.84University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.3Yale University0.370.1%1st Place
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8.04Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.75Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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7.7Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.67Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.750.0%1st Place
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9.3McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 23.8% | 22.6% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 26.5% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 12.7% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 15.7% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Beck Lorsch | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew White | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 17.6% | 31.1% | 21.7% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 6.9% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 9.4% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 58.1% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.