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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+2.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+1.17vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.07+3.62vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.37+1.62vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.01-2.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.59-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+1.48vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.26-1.85vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.93+0.74vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.38-1.31vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.75-0.18vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.84-4.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.01Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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7.62Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.62Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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3.15Roger Williams University2.010.2%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
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7.71University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.15Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.74Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.69Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.750.0%1st Place
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9.35McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 16.3% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 24.0% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 13.4% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 24.0% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 7.6% |
| Andrew White | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 31.9% | 21.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 9.5% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 57.9% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.