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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+2.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.64+1.61vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+1.18vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.07+3.67vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98-1.78vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.37+0.67vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.50+3.80vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.21vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.26-0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.59-3.91vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.39vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.38-1.24vs Predicted
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13McGill University-0.84-3.57vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.75-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Roger Williams University2.010.2%1st Place
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3.61Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.18University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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7.67Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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3.22Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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6.67Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.8Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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7.79University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.17Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.76Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.43McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 25.0% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 18.6% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 19.5% | 22.9% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robin Potter | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 23.7% | 12.2% |
| Sean Lund | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Andrew White | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Willem Weinberg | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 9.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 21.2% | 10.7% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 2.8% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 15.3% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.