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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+2.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.64+1.62vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+1.17vs Predicted
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4Yale University0.37+2.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98-1.79vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.13+1.85vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.26+0.91vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.59-2.00vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.07-1.30vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.84-0.35vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.50+0.04vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-1.45vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.38-2.34vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.75-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Roger Williams University2.010.2%1st Place
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3.62Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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6.6Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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3.21Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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7.85University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.91Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
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7.7Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.65McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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11.04Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.66Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 24.8% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 18.7% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 19.6% | 23.1% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew White | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 4.5% |
| Robin Potter | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 22.7% | 13.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 9.2% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 21.4% | 9.8% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.