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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.42+3.15vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+1.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+0.06vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.59+1.13vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.37+0.65vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.07+0.38vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.84+1.39vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.13-1.20vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.50+0.91vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.54vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.26-3.92vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.38-2.47vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.91-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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3.02Roger Williams University2.010.2%1st Place
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3.06Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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3.79Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
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6.65Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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7.38Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.39McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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7.8University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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10.91Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.08Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.53Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Miller | 13.1% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 24.5% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 24.8% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 15.9% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 1.6% |
| Sean Lund | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Robin Potter | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 28.6% | 5.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 3.3% |
| Andrew White | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 23.9% | 2.9% |
| Alan Andonian | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.