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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.01+2.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+1.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.72vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.59+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.42-0.73vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.37+0.63vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.84+2.26vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.13-0.26vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.07-1.36vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-0.26-1.81vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.38-0.33vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.91+1.66vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.50-2.18vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Roger Williams University2.010.2%1st Place
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3.02Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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3.72Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island0.590.0%1st Place
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4.27University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.26McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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7.74University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.64Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.19Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.67Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.910.0%1st Place
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10.82Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 25.0% | 23.9% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 25.3% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 16.8% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 11.0% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beck Lorsch | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 0.9% |
| Sean Lund | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Sean Crandall | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew White | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 22.2% | 26.0% | 3.2% |
| Alan Andonian | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 87.6% |
| Robin Potter | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 28.3% | 5.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 20.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.