Race 7A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Roman 24.6% 20.0% 18.0% 15.5% 9.4% 7.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Miller 13.3% 14.9% 14.2% 14.6% 16.1% 10.2% 8.1% 4.2% 2.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Rosow 22.9% 21.6% 18.7% 13.7% 10.5% 7.0% 3.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grant Adam 15.6% 17.6% 17.9% 14.7% 12.6% 9.5% 6.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Sean Lund 3.6% 3.0% 4.0% 5.8% 6.4% 10.7% 9.9% 13.5% 13.6% 12.5% 8.9% 6.6% 1.5%
Willem Weinberg 6.0% 6.0% 8.4% 9.2% 12.9% 15.0% 11.1% 11.6% 9.3% 5.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Sean Crandall 4.0% 3.3% 4.7% 5.2% 8.2% 8.6% 11.9% 12.1% 13.3% 12.7% 8.7% 6.4% 0.9%
Beck Lorsch 4.0% 6.8% 5.6% 8.8% 9.2% 11.7% 15.3% 13.2% 10.4% 7.8% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6%
Andrew White 2.7% 2.4% 3.8% 5.0% 5.6% 6.7% 10.9% 12.2% 14.4% 14.2% 11.6% 7.3% 3.2%
Finn Bascio 1.2% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.8% 4.5% 6.6% 8.9% 10.3% 15.8% 15.4% 14.9% 11.6%
Andy Giaya 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 1.6% 2.2% 4.1% 5.1% 7.2% 9.0% 11.2% 16.8% 20.5% 19.7%
Robin Potter 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 4.1% 5.7% 7.7% 6.9% 13.5% 21.9% 33.0%
Gray Dinsel 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 3.8% 5.2% 7.9% 10.6% 15.5% 19.6% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.