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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.87+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-0.92+3.87vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.52+0.24vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University0.20-0.23vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-0.41+0.28vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.27-1.33vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.96-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.80-0.30vs Predicted
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9Davidson College-1.97-1.17vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-2.12-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64North Carolina State University0.8732.1%1st Place
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5.87University of North Carolina-0.925.6%1st Place
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3.24Clemson University0.5219.7%1st Place
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3.77Wake Forest University0.2015.0%1st Place
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5.28The Citadel-0.416.6%1st Place
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4.67The Citadel-0.279.7%1st Place
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5.92Duke University-0.965.3%1st Place
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7.7University of South Carolina-1.801.8%1st Place
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7.83Davidson College-1.972.1%1st Place
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8.07Georgia Institute of Technology-2.122.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Brelage | 32.1% | 23.0% | 18.9% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Emma Gumny | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
Luke Adams | 19.7% | 20.6% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Dylan Flack | 15.0% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Henry Parker | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
Bradlee Anderson | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
Kay Lyon | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
Tyler Williams | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 24.9% |
Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 24.0% | 28.8% |
Will Bilowz | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 23.5% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.