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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.25+4.11vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan3.02+1.26vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.41+1.67vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.37-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.44+1.50vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.61-2.79vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.69+1.61vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.60-2.00vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago0.60-0.08vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University1.25-2.92vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois0.38-1.42vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame0.60-2.83vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame0.27-3.91vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University-0.27-3.82vs Predicted
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18Purdue University-0.11-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11University of Minnesota2.250.1%1st Place
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3.26University of Michigan3.020.2%1st Place
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4.67Northwestern University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Wisconsin2.370.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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9.61Marquette University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Michigan1.600.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Chicago0.600.0%1st Place
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8.08Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Illinois0.380.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Notre Dame0.600.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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12.18Northern Michigan University-0.270.0%1st Place
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11.8Purdue University-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Thompson | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 24.7% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric DeFeo | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Jau | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Christine Porter | 13.2% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Farrell | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| David Oliver | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Paul Kaplan | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 5.6% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Jamie Gay | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Emily Golden | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 14.1% |
| Matthew Leon | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 28.2% |
| Ken Rood | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.