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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+2.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.76vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.01-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.13+2.61vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.37+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.59-1.07vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.07-0.42vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.84+0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+0.27vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.26-3.10vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.50-1.17vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.38-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Tufts University1.980.2%1st Place
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4.23University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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3.76Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.11Roger Williams University2.010.2%1st Place
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7.61University of New Hampshire-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.52Yale University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.93University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
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7.58Salve Regina University-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.46McGill University-0.840.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.9Fairfield University-0.260.0%1st Place
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10.83Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.66Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 23.9% | 21.0% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 16.6% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 23.3% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lund | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Beck Lorsch | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Willem Weinberg | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Finn Bascio | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 11.4% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 20.7% | 22.2% |
| Andrew White | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Robin Potter | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 32.6% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 21.1% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.