Race 9A

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Willem Weinberg 5.2% 6.7% 7.9% 9.3% 12.4% 14.3% 12.3% 12.3% 10.4% 4.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Connor Rosow 22.5% 20.8% 20.8% 13.4% 10.5% 6.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Roman 23.7% 22.3% 16.8% 16.1% 10.4% 5.0% 3.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Crandall 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 5.0% 8.9% 10.1% 10.0% 14.1% 13.2% 12.5% 9.2% 5.5% 1.8%
Tyler Miller 14.7% 13.0% 15.4% 14.6% 13.1% 11.0% 10.6% 3.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Beck Lorsch 4.5% 6.1% 5.6% 8.5% 8.9% 14.4% 12.5% 12.3% 11.7% 8.0% 4.9% 2.2% 0.4%
Grant Adam 18.1% 17.4% 16.5% 14.0% 13.7% 8.7% 6.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Lund 2.6% 4.4% 3.9% 4.7% 6.9% 9.3% 9.9% 14.3% 14.3% 13.6% 8.7% 5.6% 1.8%
Finn Bascio 1.2% 2.2% 1.9% 2.7% 3.9% 4.3% 6.0% 7.7% 11.3% 15.1% 18.0% 14.0% 11.7%
Gray Dinsel 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 2.5% 2.0% 2.7% 4.1% 6.2% 7.9% 10.1% 14.9% 21.1% 25.5%
Andrew White 2.1% 2.0% 4.3% 5.8% 5.4% 9.3% 12.7% 12.0% 13.2% 14.0% 10.2% 6.5% 2.5%
Andy Giaya 0.9% 0.5% 1.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 5.4% 5.9% 6.5% 10.1% 16.7% 21.2% 24.3%
Robin Potter 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 1.8% 1.4% 2.0% 3.6% 5.2% 6.5% 9.8% 13.8% 22.3% 31.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.